Are Electric Cars Cleaner than Gas? Scientists Do the Simple Math

From Recurrent.

Electric vehicles (EVs) are widely regarded as a greener alternative to traditional gas-powered cars, but their full environmental impact is complex. While EVs have no tailpipe emissions, they do incur carbon emissions during manufacturing, especially from battery production, and electricity generation to power them also contributes emissions. To truly assess whether EVs are better for the environment, it’s important to consider their lifecycle carbon emissions, encompassing manufacturing, fueling, and operation.

You can get the full report here:
https://www.recurrentauto.com/research/just-how-dirty-is-your-ev

Carbon Emissions and Their Impact
Carbon dioxide (CO2) is a major greenhouse gas responsible for climate change. Transportation is the largest source of CO2 emissions in the U.S., and cutting these emissions is crucial to mitigating global warming. Gas-powered cars generate about 319 grams of CO2 per mile driven, with 75% of their lifecycle emissions coming from tailpipe emissions. Conversely, EVs produce no operational emissions, but their manufacturing generates about 14 tonnes of CO2—50% more than gas or hybrid cars, largely due to battery production.

Upstream Emissions and Electricity Sources
Fueling emissions, known as upstream emissions, vary significantly depending on energy sources. Gasoline refinement and transportation produce similar emissions nationwide, but electricity emissions depend on the grid’s energy mix. In regions relying heavily on non-renewable sources like coal and oil, EVs produce more emissions during charging compared to areas with cleaner grids powered by renewables like wind or hydropower. On average, over 60% of U.S. electricity still comes from fossil fuels, making grid decarbonization essential for reducing EV emissions.

Comparing Lifecycle Emissions
When comparing lifecycle emissions, EVs outperform both gas and hybrid vehicles. A gas-powered sedan emits 74.6 to 84 tonnes of CO2 over its lifetime, while a hybrid sedan emits 52.4 to 57.4 tonnes. In contrast, an electric sedan generates only 31.4 to 33 tonnes of CO2, even accounting for battery manufacturing. Larger vehicles like SUVs and trucks follow similar trends, with EVs consistently emitting less than their gas or hybrid counterparts. EVs "break even" on their initial carbon debt within two to four years of use, depending on the energy grid and driving habits.

Accelerating the Transition to EVs
Despite the carbon debt from manufacturing, EVs remain the greener choice in the long run. As electricity grids transition to cleaner energy sources, the emissions associated with charging EVs will further decline. Additionally, buying used EVs can significantly reduce the environmental impact by avoiding new manufacturing emissions. Recycling advancements in batteries will also contribute to making EVs more sustainable.

To meet global climate goals, EV adoption must increase dramatically. With over 7% of new car sales now electric, the transition is underway, but reaching 240 million EVs by 2050 will require ongoing innovation and infrastructure improvements. While no car is entirely emission-free, EVs represent a critical step toward a sustainable transportation future. Choosing an EV over a gas car can substantially reduce personal carbon footprints, helping mitigate climate change.