From Top Electric.

In a stunning rebuke of U.S. trade policies, Mexican tomato producers have pivoted from the $2.8 billion U.S. market to Canada, triggered by former President Donald Trump’s 17% tariff on fresh tomatoes. This “political earthquake” dismantles decades of economic dependency, as Mexico leverages refrigerated rail lines and government support under President Claudia Sheinbaum to redirect exports. Previously, Canada received less than 0.3% of Mexico’s tomatoes, despite importing $310 million annually. Now, with logistical overhauls and strategic planning by export associations like Anarm, Mexico is bypassing U.S. customs, aiming to flood Canadian markets with high-quality produce. This move, sparked by the July 14, 2025, collapse of a 2019 USMCA agreement, signals a broader challenge to Trump’s America First doctrine. The tariff, seen as economic intimidation, has backfired, risking U.S. price hikes, shortages, and an inflationary spiral for consumers. Beyond tomatoes, avocados, berries, and electronics could follow, threatening billions in trade. Mexico’s shift to Canada, a G7 ally with preferential USMCA access, underscores a potential restructuring of North American supply chains. As the U.S. faces reputational and economic fallout, this “tomato rebellion” symbolizes Mexico’s quest for trade sovereignty and resilience, raising questions about America’s regional dominance. Will Trump’s tariffs protect U.S. interests or accelerate a trade realignment? The answer could reshape North American commerce.

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